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Los Angeles Film Critics Awards: Will they predict the 2022 Oscars?

by Stewart Cole

The Los Angeles Film Critics Association presented its awards on Saturday (December 18th). These California-based judges are the second largest group of critics to reveal the list of winners, as their New York colleagues went first on December 3rd. How influential is LAFCA on the last team they hear from – the film academy that the Oscar winners will reveal 99 days from now on March 27, 2022?

In its 46-year history, the Los Angeles Film Critics Association Awards have predicted only 11 winners of the Academy Award for Best Picture. Three of them came in the first five years of its existence while three more in the last five years.

In 2019, LAFCA previewed the winner of the Best Picture at the Oscars when he went with “Parasite”. Prior to that, Los Angeles critics had lined up for the Oscars in both 2016 and 2017, when they predicted the overthrow of “Spotlight” and “Moonlight” against the pioneers “The Revenant” and “La La Land”, respectively. In 2018, the Los Angeles crowd went to “Roma”, while the academy favored the “Green Book”.

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Prior to this recent series of winners, LAFCA had not aligned with the academy since 2010, the first year of the expanded Best Picture competition, when both bodies went with “The Hurt Locker”. Prior to that, the last time Los Angeles critics predicted the top Oscar winner was back in 1994 when “Schindler’s List” ran the board, also winning the NYFCC and NBR before winning the Oscars.

The other Best Picture winners who were first recognized by these West Coast critics were: “One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest” (1976, tied with “Dog Day Afternoon” here). “Rocky” (1977, linked to “Network” here). «Kramer Vs. Kramer »(1980); “Amadeus” (1985) and “Unforgiven” (1993).

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